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VN.NEWS/Reuters...080398



- Maximum payments set for Vietnam public speakers
- Foreign bankers still expect Vietnam devaluation
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Full story

Maximum payments set for Vietnam public speakers 02:27 a.m.  Aug 03,
1998 Eastern

HANOI, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Vietnamese officials with aspirations to join a
lucrative public speaking circuit have had to think again due to a new
set of guidelines capping appearance fees at just 100,000 dong ($7.60). 

The new ruling, issued by the communist country's finance ministry, will
be applied to everyone up to top communist party officials and
government ministers, a finance ministry official said on Monday. 

The official said payments for speeches for officials from commune
levels would be limited to the lower sum of 30,000 dong ($2.30).  A
commune is an administrative area that comprises a number of villages. 

The evening news on national television devotes much of its coverage to
national and local conferences and meetings, which are very common in
Vietnam. 

($1 - 12,994 dong)
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Full story

Foreign bankers still expect Vietnam devaluation 10:24 p.m.  Aug 02,
1998 Eastern

By Dean Yates

HO CHI MINH CITY, Vietnam, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Foreign bankers in Vietnam
said they still expect a small devaluation of the country's dong
currency in the next two months, although they add that pressures
against such a move have grown. 

Many foreign bankers had expected the government to permit a 5-10
percent downward adjustment of the non-convertible, fixed currency in
either June or July. 

But the government has said repeatedly in recent months it believed the
exchange rate was adequate to meet the needs of the economy.  Foreign
economists have said the dong was overvalued and should be adjusted down
to boost export competitiveness. 

The dong is allowed to trade 10 percent on either side of a pivotal
rate, which on Monday was fixed at 11,814 to the dollar.  It has
remained glued to the bottom of that band, close to 13,000, since
Vietnam permitted a small devaluation in February, when the official
rate was adjusted by 5.3 percent. 

A poll of five foreign bankers in Vietnam showed all now expected a rate
adjustment within the next two months. 

``The pressures are building. There is
complete disequilibrium in the market and no one is willing to sell
dollars,'' said one foreign banker. 

``I still think we are a good six weeks away
and my feeling is they will delay as long as possible, not for any
particular reason, but because a devaluation is not positive news for
any country, it shows you are under pressure.''

All foreign bankers said the interbank market was illiquid, as the dong
stayed pinned to the bottom of its trading band. 

Some said they had noticed a shortage of dong in the banking system,
especially since the central State Bank of Vietnam suspended one-way
dollars for dong swap transactions in May. 

Foreign banks could previously swap dollars for dong with the central
bank for periods of between two weeks and three months.  The central
bank has not said when it would resume the deals. 

One foreign banker said a concern for Hanoi could be inflation, which is
forecast to come in at under 10 percent this year, markedly higher than
3.6 percent in 1997. 

In a country where a large number of people live around the poverty
line, any downward rate adjustment would mean higher prices for some
imported essentials. 

A prolonged drought in the first half of the year also put pressure on
local rice prices. 

An additional concern could be foreign currency debt at state-run firms,
although Hanoi has not released any figures. 

``Our treasury people are going into the
interbank market struggling to buy dollars and dong.  There is just no
volume with this rate, it is completely dead,'' said one senior banker. 

Another foreign banker said:

``The whole thing is guesswork but everyone
knows they must do something, probably a 10 percent adjustment at the
moment because exports are down and this is the dead period of the year
regarding crops.''

The main rice and coffee harvests -- Vietnam's two top commodity exports
-- are not due until later this year. 

Total exports are forecast to grow 10 percent this year from 22 percent
in 1997, partly reflecting the economic turmoil in some of Vietnam's key
Asian markets. 

The country manager of one foreign bank said Hanoi appeared unperturbed
by the market pressure for a rate adjustment. 

``I believe they don't feel they are in a
hurry and Nguyen Tan Dung says he doesn't think a devaluation is needed,
so for personal credibility he'll wait a couple of months,'' he said. 

Dung, who was appointed governor of the central bank in May, is also
deputy prime minister in charge of the economy and a member of the
communist party's elite 19-person Politburo. 

- - - -

(Note: This is the third in a monthly series
on Vietnam's foreign exchange market and banking sector.  The reports
are issued on the first business day of each month)
-------------------------
AUG 3 1998

US seeks closer ties, not bases



PORT CALLS BY WARSHIPS TO PHILIPPINES

MANILA -- Washington seeks closer military ties with -- but not bases in
-- the Philippines under an agreement allowing a resumption of visits by
US troops and warships, US Defence Secretary William Cohen said
yesterday.  Some six

years after the US pulled out of its last base there and shut down the
oldest US military facility in Asia, Mr Cohen will be making the case
for its return in the form of port calls and joint exercises. 

He meets Filipino leaders today to press for Senate ratification of a
visiting-forces agreement which establishes the legal status and spells
out the rights of US military personnel in the Philippines. 

If ratified, the agreement opens the way for a resumption of large-scale
US-Filipino military exercises and visits by US warships. 

He said: "We're not looking for bases.  To the extent we can have
exercises consistent with what we have throughout the region, that would
be desirable."

The Americans are encouraged that President Joseph Estrada and Defence
Secretary Orlando Mercado, who voted to close the bases in 1992, have
endorsed the agreement signed in

February by former President Fidel Ramos' government. 

But leftist groups, campaigning against the move, are expected to
demonstrate during the Cohen visit. 

The Estrada government argues that the agreement is needed to strengthen
the 1951 Mutual Defence Agreement, under which Washington pledges to
come to Manila's aid if the country comes under attack. 

Joint military training has been cut back severely since the base
closures. 

They are now limited to small-scale programmes involving

no more than 20 US military personnel at a time. 

Washington has beefed up its military ties with Singapore, Thailand and
Malaysia through port calls and joint exercises. 
-- AFP
-------------------------
AUG 3 1998

Taiwan party cuts ties with China over killing



The DPP burns its bridges following what it sees as China's coldness to
the murder of one of its officials

TAIPEI -- Taiwan's main opposition party, outraged by the kidnap and
murder of a party official in China, has decided to return to its
hardline policy on the communist mainland by closing the door on
bilateral exchanges. 

"The death of Lin Ti-chuan and the cold response from
China to our demands have made it necessary for us to reconsider our
mainland policy," said Mr Yen Wan-chin, director of China affairs of the
pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). 

The DPP formerly banned links with the mainland but recently decided to
open full contacts and improve ties. 

After Ms Lin's death, it demanded that Beijing allow Taiwan to send
officials to the mainland to help her family.  It also asked that China
ensure that Ms Lin's body -- rather than cremated ashes -- be sent home.

Meanwhile, members of the victim's family threatened yesterday to go on
a hunger strike to stop the mainland authorities from conducting an
autopsy on the body. 

It is a widespread belief in Taiwan that the soul of the

dead person would be disturbed if the body is dissected before burial. 

Ms Lin, a councillor in Kaohsiung, was kidnapped in Liaoning province by
three Chinese who demanded a ransom of US$200,000 (S$340,000). 

Her body turned up in the mortuary of a hospital in Haicheng city early
on Friday.  She had apparently died from an injected overdose of
sedatives. 

Her boyfriend, Mr Wei Tien-kang, who was also abducted and drugged,
later told police that he suspected that his business associate in
China, who had been pressing him for a US$700,000 payment for an order,
was behind the abduction. 

The DPP had given Beijing till 5 pm on Friday to respond to its demands,
or the party would suspend its links with China and all cross-strait
exchanges. 

But one of Beijing's top negotiators with Taipei on Friday snubbed the
demands, denouncing them as an attempt by some people in Taiwan to
create a political incident out of the matter, local news media
reported. 

The DPP denied this.  Mr Yen said: "Our requests are not unreasonable. 
They are all based on humanitarian considerations.  But the communists
just gave us the cold shoulder."

Party legislator Chang Chun-hong, who had been asked to form a task
force over the case, said after discussions that the DPP had decided to
suspend its links with China. 

"We will mobilise our lawmakers in the legislature to
boycott all Taiwan's cultural, sports and social exchanges with the
mainland," he said.  -- Reuters, AFP



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© 1999 Minh X. Nguyen