Wolf Ketter's Publications

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MinneTAC Sales Strategies for Supply Chain TAC

Wolfgang Ketter, Elena Kryzhnyaya, Steven Damer, Colin McMillen, Amrudin Agovic, John Collins, and Maria Gini. MinneTAC Sales Strategies for Supply Chain TAC. In Proc. of the Third Int'l Conf. on Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, pp. 1372–1373, New York, July 2004.

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Abstract

We describe two sales strategies used by our agent, MinneTAC, for the 2003 Supply Chain Management Trading Agent Competition (TAC SCM). Both strategies estimate, as the game progresses, the probability of receiving a customer order for different prices and compute for each the expected profit. Offers are made to maximize the expected profit. The main difference between the strategies is in the way the probability of receiving an order is updated, and in the way an offer price is calculated. The first strategy works well in high demand games, but not as well in low-demand games. The second was developed to improve performance in low-demand games. We empirically analyze the effect of the discount given by suppliers on orders received the first day of the game. We show that in high-demand games there is a strong correlation between the offers an agent receives from suppliers on the first day of the game and the agent's performance in the game.

BibTeX

@InProceedings{Ketter04aamas,
  author =       "Wolfgang Ketter and Elena Kryzhnyaya and Steven Damer
                  and Colin McMillen and Amrudin Agovic and John Collins
                  and Maria Gini",
  title =        "{MinneTAC} Sales Strategies for Supply Chain {TAC}",
  booktitle =    AAMAS04,
  pages =        {1372--1373},
  year =         "2004",
  abstract = "We describe two sales strategies used by our agent,
  MinneTAC, for the 2003 Supply Chain Management Trading Agent
  Competition (TAC SCM).  Both strategies estimate, as the game
  progresses, the probability of receiving a customer order for
  different prices and compute for each the expected profit.  Offers
  are made to maximize the expected profit.  The main difference
  between the strategies is in the way the probability of receiving an
  order is updated, and in the way an offer price is calculated.  The
  first strategy works well in high demand games, but not as well in
  low-demand games.  The second was developed to improve performance
  in low-demand games.  We empirically analyze the effect of the
  discount given by suppliers on orders received the first day of the
  game.  We show that in high-demand games there is a strong
  correlation between the offers an agent receives from suppliers on
  the first day of the game and the agent's performance in the game.",
  address =      {New York},
  month =        {July},
  bib2html_pubtype = {Refereed Conference},
  bib2html_rescat = {Trading Agents: Supply-Chain Management},
}

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